Gulf property check, 2026

Can Gulf property investments beat
a 7% ETF?

Work out what buying in the UAE, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain or Oman really costs. Enter the price, mortgage and rent, and the calculator shows your net yield, total interest and the sale price you'd need to beat a global index fund.

UAE Qatar Saudi Arabia Bahrain Oman
Total Cash Required at Completion
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Gross Yield

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Rent / (price + friction)

Net Yield

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After all running costs

Cash-on-Cash Return

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Net CF / cash invested

01. Country & Property
Country
Property Type
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02. Purchase & Finance
AED
Mortgage financing
Total Cash Required at Completion
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Down payment + all acquisition costs
03. Rental & Returns
AED
Leave at 0 when the tenant pays separately. For Bahrain, check whether your inclusive lease makes the 7% or 10% charge your cost.
Include your agreed agent fees, transfer charges and applicable taxes. The country default is a sample allowance, not a certified tariff.
Property vs ETF growth scenarios - 10yr hold
ETF at 7% p.a. Property: bear (-2%) Property: flat (0%) Property: base (3%) Property: bull (7%)
To Beat a 7% ETF at 10 Years
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Total Interest (mortgage term)
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Monthly Breakeven Rent
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Your Investment In Plain English

Enter your inputs above to see a plain-English summary of your investment case.

What-if Scenarios

Four property price growth scenarios compared against your ETF alternative. Each shows total wealth at end of hold period: sale proceeds (net of exit costs and outstanding mortgage) plus all rental cash flow accumulated over the period.

Scenario Property value Total wealth Return on cash vs ETF
Enter figures above
Acquisition Costs
ItemRateAmount
Annual Running Costs & Cash Flow
ItemRatePer Year
// UAE Property checks - reviewed 2 October 2026
Growth assumptions
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Property yield
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Market Liquidity
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Key Risk
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Watch Point
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ℹ️

Country defaults are illustrative allowances, not live lender quotes or a complete tax calculation. Confirm your share of buying costs, service-charge budget, owner-paid municipal charges and sale costs from the contract and invoices. Visa approval and income/business taxes are not calculated. See the reviewed property guide and primary sources.

The friction cost trap

In Dubai, buying a property involves a 4% Dubai Land Department fee, 2.1% agent commission, plus trustee, title, and DEWA deposit costs. On a AED 1M apartment that's AED 65,000+ before you own a single brick.

Gross yields of 7% quickly compress to 4-5% net once you account for the full cost base - and that's before vacancy, management fees, or service charges. The calculator adds these buying costs for each GCC country.

Net yield vs gross yield

Service charges in Dubai Marina can exceed AED 20 per sq ft per year. Add 7-10% management fees, an 8% vacancy allowance, plus Bahrain's municipal charge if your lease makes you pay it, and net yield ends up well below gross.

The calculator shows both, and whether rental income alone can justify the purchase against a diversified ETF over your hold period. The net yield is the number that matters.

How the ETF comparison works

The chart places your total cash invested (down payment plus all friction costs for a mortgage purchase, or the full price plus friction for cash) into both scenarios at year zero. The ETF line grows at the rate you choose - compounding annually (7% is a common long-run planning figure for a global ETF like VWRA, after its 0.14% charge).

The property line tracks your equity assuming zero price appreciation: equity in year Y = (purchase price minus remaining loan balance) plus cumulative net cash flow. This conservative baseline makes the hurdle calculation meaningful - if property beats the ETF at zero appreciation, any price growth is pure upside.

Understanding the required appreciation

The verdict panel solves for the sale price that makes the property investor exactly as wealthy as the ETF investor at the chosen hold period - after paying exit costs. If that price implies appreciation greater than 5% per year, the property requires exceptional market conditions to justify the illiquidity and concentration risk.

Saudi Arabia has two sale charges to check. The 5% Real Estate Transaction Tax applies to every sale. The seller is liable, though buyers often agree to pay it. Non-Saudi owners also pay REGA a disposal fee when they sell. The law caps it at 5%, and the 2026 regulations set it at 2% in Riyadh, Makkah, Madinah and Jeddah. Depending on who pays the tax, selling can cost you 7% or more before agent fees. Qatar's QAR 3.65M property tier comes with residency and some healthcare and education benefits, subject to conditions. If you'd use them, they're worth something, so factor them in.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is gross yield misleading in Dubai?

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Gross yield divides annual rent by purchase price - ignoring the 4% Dubai Land Department fee, 2.1% agent commission, trustee fees, DEWA deposits, and building-specific ongoing service charges. A property marketed at "7% gross yield" may deliver only 3-4% net yield once these costs are included. This calculator shows both rent divided by purchase price and yields using modelled acquisition costs, so you see the real figure before you buy.

How should I enter mortgage insurance?

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Some lenders require mortgage life insurance. Use the premium in your own offer, and check whether it is based on the original loan, outstanding balance or a fixed amount. The calculator models a percentage of the average outstanding balance; its 0.4% default is a sample, not a market rate.

How does Qatar's property residency compare to the UAE Golden Visa?

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Qatar's QAR 730,000 property tier and QAR 3.65 million tier are property-linked residency routes, both requiring at least 90 days a year in Qatar. The upper tier includes specified healthcare, education and investment benefits subject to conditions; it is not an automatic unrestricted permanent-residency card. UAE Golden Visa property applications have their own ownership, financing and approval requirements.

How are Bahrain municipal charges treated?

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Check ownership eligibility for the actual development. A municipal charge is not automatically a 10% tax on every expatriate landlord. The government describes 7% furnished and 10% unfurnished charges for an inclusive-rent arrangement. Enter an owner-paid charge only if the lease makes it your cost; leave it at zero when the tenant pays separately.